A low-pressure area (LPA) has formed over East-Central Arabian Sea at around latitude 16.4 N, longitude 71.9 E, which is about 1075 km southeast of Karachi.

Due to favorable environmental conditions, the system is likely to intensify further into a Depression (strong LPA) during next 36 hours and expected to move initially towards north.

Currently, there is no threat to any Pakistani coastal area. PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is monitoring the system and will keep the relevant quarters abreast.

Formation of Low Pressure Area (LPA) over East-central Arabian Sea

The upper air cyclonic circulation extending up to mid-tropospheric level over East-central Arabian Sea off North Karnataka-Goa coasts (India).

Under its influence, a low-pressure area is likely to form over the same region during next 12 hours. Thereafter, it is likely to move nearly northwards and intensify further into a depression during subsequent 36 hours.

PMD’s Cyclone Warning Center, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and will issue the update accordingly. The concerned authorities are requested to keep themselves abreast through PMD advisory.

The Depression over West-central Arabian Sea has moved further northwestward during past 12 hours and now lies at around Latitude 18.6N & Longitude 58.4E, at a distance of about 1150km southwest of Karachi, 830km southwest of Gwadar, 130km southeast of Duqm, Oman, 190km south-southwest of Masirah, Oman and 490 northeast of Salalah, Oman.

• The system is likely to move further northwest towards Oman coast and weaken into a well-marked low pressure area by morning of 16 October. Squally winds of 30-40 Km/hour gusting 50Km/hour are likely around the system center with sea condition to remain rough till morning

None of the Pakistan coastal area is under any threat from this system.

The Depression over Central Arabian Sea has moved slowly west-northwestward during last 12 hours and now lies around Latitude 16.2N & Longitude 64.0E at a distance of about 1010km southwest of Karachi, & Ormara. 1000km south-southeast of Gwadar and 740km southeast of Masirah, Oman. The system is likely to keep moving west-northwestward towards Oman coast.

• Squally winds with speed of 30-40 Km/hour gusting 50Km/hour are likely around the system center with sea condition to remain rough 15th Oct evening. Fishermen are advised to remain careful and avoid going to deep sea till tomorrow.

None of the Pakistan coastal area is any threat from this system. However, cloudy weather with chances of drizzle expected along Sindh-Makran coast today. PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is monitoring the system and will issue update accordingly.

The well-marked low-pressure area (WML) over east-central Arabian Sea moved west-northwestward during last 12 hours, intensified into a Depression and now lies near Latitude 15.6N & Longitude 64.8E over central Arabian Sea at a distance of about 1060km southwest of Karachi, 1080km south of Ormara and 1110km southeast of Gwadar. The system is likely to move further west-northwestward towards Oman coast.

• Squally wind of speed 30-40 Km/hour gusting 50Km/hour are likely around the system center for next two days. Fishermen are advised to remain careful and avoid going to deep sea.

None of the Pakistan coastal area is any threat from this system. PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is monitoring the system and will issue update accordingly.

The Well marked low pressure area (WML) over east central Arabian Sea moved slightly west-southwestward and now lies near Latitude 15.8N & Longitude 65.9E over central Arabian Sea about 1000km south/southwest of Karachi. Due to favorable environmental conditions, the system is likely to concentrate into a Depression in next 12 hours and move initially towards west/northwest.

• Currently none of the Pakistan coastal area is likely to be impacted by this weather system. PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is monitoring the system and will issue update accordingly.

The low-pressure area (LPA) over Southeast Arabian Sea has intensified into Well marked low pressure area (WML) and moved westward now lies near Latitude 17.0 N & Longitude 66.5E over central Arabian Sea about 900km south of Karachi. Due to favorable environmental conditions, the system is likely to concentrate into a Depression by tomorrow and move initially towards west/northwest.

• Currently none of the Pakistan coastal area is likely to be impacted by this weather system. PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is monitoring the system and will issue update accordingly.

Met Office informed that a low-pressure area has formed over Southeast Arabian Sea at around Latitude 17.0 N & Longitude 72.0 E at a distance of about 1000km southeast of Karachi. Due to favorable environmental conditions, the system is likely to concentrate into a Depression during next 2/3 days and move initially towards northwest. 2.

• Currently none of the Pakistan coastal area is likely to be impacted by this weather system. PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is monitoring the system and will issue update accordingly.

The Cyclonic Storm (CS) “ASNA” (Pronounced as As-Na) having moved further southwestward during last 12 hours weakened into a Deep Depression and now lies at around Latitude 22.0 N & Longitude 61.2 E at a distance of about 320km northeast of Masirah Island (Oman), 340km east-southeast of Muscat (Oman) and 370km south of Gwadar. The system is likely to continue moving southwestwards and further weaken into a Depression by late night/early morning of September 2.

• Sea conditions are likely to remain rough/very rough with squally winds of 40-50 Km/hour gusting 60Km/hour till tonight.
• Fishermen of Balochistan hare advised not to venture in open sea till tomorrow.

This is the last bulletin in this regard.

The Cyclonic Storm (CS) “ASNA” (Pronounced as As-Na) over Central Arabian Sea continued to move further westward during past 6 hours and now lies at around Latitude 23.2 N & Longitude 63.8 E at a distance of about 370km southwest of Karachi, 250km southwest of Ormara and 260km south-southeast of Gwadar. The system is likely to track further westwards till tomorrow, then turn southwestward and weaken gradually.

Under its influence:

• Rain-thundershowers with a few heavy falls and accompanied with squally winds (60-70Km/hour) likely in Hub, Lasbella, Awaran, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar, Jiwani, Turbat, Panjgur and surroundings till tomorrow night.
• Heavy rains may create water logging in low lying areas of Makran coast.
• Sea conditions are likely to remain rough/very rough with squally winds of 60-70 Km/hour gusting 80Km/hour till 1 September.
• Fishermen of Balochistan are advised not to venture in open sea till September 1 night while those of Sindh can resume their activities from tomorrow.

PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and will issue the update accordingly. The concerned authorities are requested to keep them abreast through PMD advisory.

The Cyclonic Storm (CS) “ASNA” (Pronounced as As-Na) over northeast Arabian Sea has moved further west-southwestward during past 6 hours and now lies at around Latitude 23.3 N & Longitude 64.5 E at a distance of about 300km southwest of Karachi, 230km south-southwest of Ormara and 300km southeast of Gwadar. The system is likely to track further west-southwestwards.

Under its influence:

• Rain-thundershowers with a few heavy falls and accompanied with squally winds (60-70Km/hour) likely in Hub, Lasbella, Awaran, Kech & Gwadar districts of Balochistan till tomorrow night.
• Rain/showers of light/moderate intensity accompanied with occasional gusty winds likely in Karachi division, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Hyderabad, T.M Khan, Matiari, Jamshoro and Dadu districts of Sindh today.
• Heavy rains may create water logging in low lying areas of Makran coast.
• Sea conditions are likely to remain rough/very rough with squally winds of 60-70 Km/hour gusting 80Km/hour.
• Fishermen of Sindh are advised not to venture into open sea till tonight and those of Balochistan till tomorrow evening

PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and will issue the update accordingly. The concerned authorities are requested to keep them abreast through PMD advisory.

The Cyclonic Storm (CS) “ASNA” (Pronounced as As-Na) over northeast Arabian Sea off Sindh coast has moved further westward during past 9 hours and now lies at around Latitude 23.6 N & Longitude 65.7 E at a distance of about 200km southwest of Karachi, 220km south-southeast of Ormara and 380km southeast of Gwadar. The system is likely to track further west-southwestwards.

Under its influence, rain-thundershowers with few heavy falls and accompanied with squally winds (60-70Km/hour gusting 80Km/hour) likely in Karachi division, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Hyderabad, T.M Khan, T.A Yar, Matiari, Jamshoro and Dadu districts of Sindh today evening/night and in Hub, Lasbella, Awaran, Keach & Gwadar districts of Balochistan till tomorrow night.

Heavy rains may create water logging in low lying areas of Makran coast.

Sea conditions are likely to remain rough/very rough with squally winds of 60-70 Km/hour gusting 80Km/hour. Fishermen of Sindh are advised not to venture into sea today and those of Balochistan till tomorrow.

PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and will issue the update accordingly. The concerned authorities are requested to keep them abreast through PMD advisory.

The Cyclonic Storm “ASNA” (Pronounced as As-Na) over northeast Arabian Sea off Sindh coast has moved westward during past 6 hours and now lies at around Latitude 23.8 N & Longitude 66.6 E at about 120km south of Karachi, 180 southwest of Thatta, 250km southeast of Ormara and 440km east-southeast of Gwadar. The system is likely keep moving initially west-northwestwards and then west-southwestwards.

Under its influence, rain-thundershowers with few heavy falls and accompanied with squally winds (60-70Km/hour gusting 80Km/hour) likely in Karachi division, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Hyderabad, T.M Khan, T.A Yar, Matiari, Jamshoro and Dadu districts of Sindh till 31 August and in Hub, Lasbella, Awaran, Keach & Gwadar districts of Balochistan till 1st September.

Heavy rains may create water logging in low lying areas of Makran coast.

Sea conditions are likely to remain rough/very rough with squally winds of 60-70 Km/hour gusting 80Km/hour. Fishermen of Sindh are advised not to venture into sea till 31 August and those of Balochistan till 1st September.

PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and will issue the update accordingly. The concerned authorities are requested to keep them abreast through PMD advisory.

The deep depression (DD, very strong low-pressure area) over Rann of Kutch coast, India & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea has moved westward during last 06 hours, intensified into a Cyclonic Storm “ASNA” (Pronounced as As-Na) and lies at around Latitude 23.5 N & Longitude 67.9 E at about 170km south/southeast of Karachi and 88km south of Kati Bandar. The system is likely keep moving initially west/northwestwards. Under its influence, widespread rain/wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy and isolated extremely heavy falls likely in Karachi division, Tharparker, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Hyderabad, T.M Khan, T.A Yar, Matiari, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Dadu & Shaheed Benazirabad districts till 31 August.

Widespread rain/wind-thunderstorm with scattered heavy/very heavy and isolated extremely heavy falls also likely in Hub, Lasbella, Awaran, Keach & Gwadar districts during 30 August to 1st September with occasional gaps.

Heavy rains may create water logging/rain inundation in low lying areas of Sindh-Makran coast.

Sea conditions are likely to remain rough/very rough with squally winds of 60-70 Km/hour gusting 80Km/hour. Fishermen of Sindh are advised not to venture into sea till 31 August and those of Balochistan till 1st September.

PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and will issue the update accordingly. The concerned authorities are requested to keep them abreast through PMD advisory.

The deep depression (DD, very strong low-pressure area) over Rann of Kutch, India & adjoining areas has slowly moved west-southwestward during last 12 hours and now lies at around Latitude 23.5 N & Longitude 68.4 E at about 200km east/southeast of Karachi. The system is likely keep moving further west/southwestwards in northeast Arabian Sea along Sindh coast and intensify further into a Cyclonic Storm (CS) this afternoon/ evening due to favorable environmental conditions, sea surface temperature (28-29 °C, low/moderate vertical wind shear and good upper-level outflow.

Under its influence, widespread rain/wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy and isolated extremely heavy falls likely in Karachi division, Tharparker, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Hyderabad, T.M Khan, T.A Yar, Matiari, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Dadu & Shaheed Benazirabad districts till 31 August.

Widespread rain/wind-thunderstorm with scattered heavy/very heavy falls also likely in Hub, Lasbella, Awaran, Keach & Gwadar districts during 30 August to 1st September with Occasional gaps.

Heavy rains may create water logging/rain inundation in low lying areas of Sindh-Makran coast.

Sea conditions are likely to remain rough/very rough with squally winds 50-60 Km/hour gusting 70Km/hour. Fishermen of Sindh are advised not to venture into sea till 31 August and those of Balochistan till 1st September.

PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and will issue the update accordingly. The concerned authorities are requested to keep them abreast through PMD advisory.

The deep depression (DD, very strong low-pressure area) over Rann of Kutch, India has slowly moved west-southwestward during last 12 hours and now lies at around Latitude 23.6 N & Longitude 69.2 E at about 250km east/southeast of Karachi. The system is likely keep moving further west/southwestwards, emerge into northeast Arabian Sea along Sindh coast by tomorrow morning and intensify further into a Cyclonic Storm (CS) due to favorable environmental conditions, sea surface temperature, low/moderate vertical wind shear and upper-level divergence.

Under its influence, widespread rain/wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy and isolated extremely heavy falls likely in Karachi division, Tharparker, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Hyderabad, T.M Khan, T.A Yar, Matiari, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Dadu & Shaheed Benazirabad districts till 31 August.

Widespread rain/wind-thunderstorm with scattered heavy/very heavy falls also likely in Hub, Lasbella, Awaran, Keach & Gwadar districts during 30 August to 1st September with Occasional gaps Sea conditions are likely to remain rough/very rough with squally winds 50-60 Km/hour gusting 70Km/hour. Fishermen of Sindh are advised not to venture into sea till 31 August and those of Balochistan till 1st September.

Met Office informed that the deep depression (DD, very strong low-pressure area) over Rann of Kutch, India has moved very slowly west-southwest during last 12 hours and now lies at around Latitude 23.7 N & Longitude 69.5 E at about 270km east/southeast of Karachi. The system is likely to move west/southwestwards & emerge into northeast Arabian Sea along Sindh coast by late night/ tomorrow morning. Due to favorable environmental conditions, sea surface temperature, low/moderate vertical wind shear and upper-level divergence, the system is likely to intensify further into a Cyclonic Storm (CS) by tomorrow and move initially in west/southwest direction.

Under its influence, widespread rain/wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy-very heavy to isolated extremely heavy falls likely in Tharparker, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Hyderabad, T.M Khan, T.A Yar, Matiari, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Dadu & Shaheed Benazirabad districts & Karachi division till 31 August with occasional gaps.

Sea conditions are likely to remain rough/very rough with squally winds 50-60 Km/hour. Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea till 31 August

PMD’s cyclone warning center, Karachi is monitoring the system and will issue the update accordingly. The concerned authorities are requested to keep them abreast through PMD advisory.

An Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) “TEJ” over Southwest Arabian Sea tracked further northwestward during last 12 hours, weakened into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) and now located around Latitude 15.5 °N & Longitude 52.1 °E at a distance of about 70km south of Al Ghaydah (Yemen), 270km southwest of Salalah (Oman) and 1500km southwest of Gwadar (Pakistan). Maximum sustained surface winds are 130-140 Km/h gusting 160 Km/h, sea conditions being high/very high & maximum wave height is 30 feet around the system canter. The VSCS “Tej” is likely to keep moving in northwest direction and cross Yemen coast near Al Ghaydah during next few hours with packing winds of 120-130 Km/h gusting 140 Km/h.

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) “TEJ” over Southwest Arabian Sea moved further northwestward during last 12 hours, intensified further into an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) and now lies cantered around Latitude 13.6 °N & Longitude 54.0 °E at a distance of about 380km south of Salalah (Oman), 290km southeast of Al Ghaydah (Yemen) 1550km southwest of Gwadar. Maximum sustained surface winds are 170-190 Km/h gusting 200 Km/h, sea conditions being phenomenal & maximum wave height is 45 feet around the system center. Due to persistent favorable environmental conditions (warm SSTs, low vertical wind shear and strong upper-level outflow), the system would maintain its current intensity by tomorrow afternoon, keep tracking in northwest direction and cross Yemen coast near Al Ghaydah by 23 Oct midnight as an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) with packing winds of 130-150 km/h. No impact on any of Pakistan coastal area from this system.

The Severe Cyclonic Storm (SCS) “TEJ” over Southwest Arabian Sea moved further northwestward during last 12 hours, intensified rapidly into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) and now lies cent red around Latitude 12.5 °N & Longitude 55.2 °E at a distance of about 530km south-southeast of Salalah (Oman), 1600km southwest of Gwadar and 1850km southwest of Karachi. Maximum sustained surface winds are 150-160 Km/h gusting 170 Km/h, sea conditions being phenomenal & maximum wave height is 35 feet around the system center. Due to persistent favorable environmental conditions (warm SSTs, low vertical wind shear and strong upper-level outflow), the system would intensify further into an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) during coming hours and keep moving in northwest direction towards Yemen-Oman coast.