The Severe Cyclonic Storm 'SHAHEEN' over Northwest Arabian Sea moved west-northwestward during past 12 hours with a speed of 15km/hr. The SCS 'SHAHEEN' now lies centred near latitude 24.4N and longitude 59.9E, at a distance of about 250km southwest of Gwadar, 480km southwest of Ormara, 730 km west-southwest of Karachi and 225km east of Muscat (Oman). Estimated maximum sustained surface wind is 115-125km/hr with sea condition very rough/high around the system centre. The system is likely to move west-northwestwards further for some time and then recurve southwestward towards Oman coast.

Under the influence of this weather system:

• Rain-wind-thunderstorms with few heavy falls are likely in Gwadar, Kech and Panjgur districts of Balochistan till tomorrow, 3 Oct (Sunday).

Possible Impacts:

• Sea conditions would remain rough/very rough with occasional high surge along west-Makran till tomorrow, Oct 3 (Sunday).
• Fishermen of Balochistan are advised not to venture in open sea till 3rd October (Sunday evening).
• Fishermen of Sindh, however, may resume their activities from 3rd Oct (Sunday) afternoon.
• High-speed winds may cause damage to vulnerable structures along Gwadar-Jiwani coast.

PMD Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and updates will be issued accordingly.

All concerned Authorities of Balochistan are requested to remain ALERT during the forecast period and keep them abreast for update through PMD website.

Satellite Imagery at October 2, 2021 1700 PST

The Severe Cyclonic Storm “SHAHEEN” moved west-northwestward during last 12 hours with a speed of 10km/hr, now lies centred near latitude 24.0N and longitude 62.5E, at a distance of about 125km south of Gwadar, 250km southwest of Ormara and 470 km west of Karachi. Estimated maximum sustained surface wind is 110-120km/hr with sea condition very rough/high around the system centre. The system is likely to keep moving west-northwestwards till today evening and then recurve southwestward towards Oman northern coast.

Under the influence of this weather system:

• Rain-wind-thunderstorms with few heavy (isolated very heavy) falls are likely in Gwadar, Lasbella, Awaran, Kech and Panjgur districts of Balochistan till tomorrow, 3 Oct (Sunday).

Possible Impacts:

• Sea conditions would remain rough/very rough with high surge at times till Oct 3 (Sunday).
• Fishermen are advised not to venture in the sea till 3rd October (Sunday).
• Heavy rains may generate urban flooding in Lasbela, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar, Turbat & Jiwani.
• Windstorm may cause damages to vulnerable structures.

PMD Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and updates will be issued accordingly.

All concerned Authorities of Balochistan are requested to remain ALERT during the forecast period and keep them abreast for update through PMD website.

Satellite Imagery at October 2, 2021 0600 PST

The Cyclonic Storm “SHAHEEN” moved west-northwestward during last 6 hours with a speed of 15km/hr, intensified into a Severe Cyclonic Storm and now lies centred near latitude 23.2N and longitude 63.6E, at a distance of about 400 km southwest of Karachi, 240km from Ormara and 250km southeast of Gwadar. Estimated maximum sustained surface wind is 90- 110km/hr and sea condition is rough/very rough around the system centre. The system is likely to move west-northwestwards till tomorrow evening and then recurve southwestward towards Masqat, Oman coast.

• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls are likely in Gwadar, Lasbela, Awaran, Kech, Khuzdar and Panjgur districts of Balochistan till 3 Oct (Sunday) night.
• Scattered rain-wind/thunderstorm expected in Karachi, Hyderabad, Thatta, Badin, Dadu and Jamshoro, Thaparker, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Tando Muhammad Khan (TMK), Tando Allayar (TAY), Shaheed Benazirabad, Nosheroferoz, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Shikarpur districts till tomorrow

Possible Impacts:

• Sea conditions would remain rough/very rough with high surge at times till Oct 3 (Sunday).
• Fishermen are advised not to venture in the sea till 3rd October (Sunday).
• Heavy rains may generate urban flooding in Lasbela, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar, Turbat & Jiwani.
• Windstorm may cause damages to vulnerable structures.

PMD Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and updates will be issued accordingly.

All concerned Authorities of Balochistan are requested to remain ALERT during the forecast period and keep them abreast for update through PMD website.

Satellite Imagery at October 1, 2021 1700 PST

The Deep Depression over Northeast Arabian Sea intensified into a Cyclonic Storm “SHAHEEN”, lies centred near latitude 23.2N and longitude 66.5E, at a distance of about 280 km southwest of Karachi, 230km from Ormara and 470km southeast of Gawadar. Estimated maximum sustained surface wind is 65- 85km/hr and sea condition is rough/very rough around the system centre. The system is likely to move west-southwestwards towards Oman/Makran coast.

• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls are likely in Gwadar, Lasbela, Awaran, Kech, Khuzdar, Kalat and Panjgur districts of Balochistan till 3 Oct (Sunday) night.
• Scattered rain-wind/thunderstorm expected in Karachi, Hyderabad, Thatta, Badin, Dadu and Jamshoro, Thaparker, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Tando Muhammad Khan (TMK), Tando Allayar (TAY), Shaheed Benazirabad, Nosheroferoz, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Shikarpur districts till tomorrow .

Possible Impacts:

• Sea conditions would remain rough/very rough with high surge at times till Oct 3 (Sunday).
• Fishermen are advised not to venture in the sea till 3rd October (Sunday).
• Heavy rains may generate urban flooding in Lasbela, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar, Turbat & Jiwani.
• Windstorm may cause damages to vulnerable structures.

PMD Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and updates will be issued accordingly.

All concerned Authorities are requested to remain High ALERT during the forecast period and keep them abreast for update through PMD website.

The Depression over northeast Arabian Sea moved west-northwestward at a speed of 15km/hr during last 12 hours, concentrated into a Deep Depression and now lies centred near latitude 23.5N and longitude 66.5E, at a distance of about 160 km south-southwest of Karachi, 140km from Thatta and 270km from Ormara. Estimated maximum sustained surface wind is 30 - 40Kts and sea condition is rough/very rough around the system centre. The system is likely to strengthen further into a Cyclonic Storm during next 06 hours and move west-northwestwards towards Makran coast

• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls, extremely heavy at times, accompanied with squally winds are likely in Karachi, Hyderabad, Thatta, Badin, Dadu and Jamshoro districts from today Oct 1 (Friday) to 2nd Oct (Saturday) night.
• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls, extremely heavy at times, are likely in Gwadar, Lasbela, Awaran, Kech, Khuzdar, Kalat and Panjgur districts of Balochistan till 3 Oct (Sunday) night.
• Scattered rain-wind/thunderstorm also expected in Thaparker, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Tando Muhammad Khan (TMK), Tando Allayar (TAY), Shaheed Benazirabad, Nosheroferoz, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Shikarpur & Ghotki districts till 2nd Oct (Saturday).

Possible Impacts:

• Sea conditions would remain rough/very rough with high surge at times till Oct 3 (Sunday).
• Fishermen are advised not to venture in the sea from 30 September (Thursday) to 3 October (Sunday).
• Torrential rains may generate urban flooding in Karachi, Badin, Thatta, Hyderabad, Dadu, Mirpurkhas, Shaeed Benazirabad, Lasbela, Sonmiani, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar, Turbat & Jiwani.
• Windstorm may cause damages to vulnerable structures.

PMD Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and updates will be issued accordingly.

All concerned Authorities are requested to remain High ALERT during the forecast period and keep them abreast for update through PMD website.

The Depression over northeast Arabian Sea has moved west-northwestward at a speed of 20km/hr during last 12 hours, now lies at latitude 23.0N and longitude 67.8E, at a distance of about 240 km east-southeast of Karachi, 200km from Thatta and 410km from Ormara. The system is likely to strengthen further into a Cyclonic Storm during next 12-18 hours and move west-northwestwards.

Under the influence of this weather system:

• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls, extremely heavy at times, accompanied with squally winds are likely in Karachi, Hyderabad, Thatta, Badin, Mirpurkhas, Thaparker, Umerkot, Sanghar, Shaheed Benazirabad, Nosheroferoz, Tando Muhammad Khan (TMK), Tando Allayar (TAY), Dadu, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Shikarpur & Ghotki districts from tonight 30 Sep (Thursday) to 2nd Oct (Saturday).
• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls, extremely heavy at times, are likely in Gwadar, Lasbela, Awaran, Kech, Khuzdar, Kalat and Panjgur districts of Balochistan till 3 Oct (Sunday).

Possible Impacts:

• Sea conditions would remain rough/very rough with high surge at times till Oct 3 (Sunday).
• Fishermen are advised not to venture in the sea from 30 September (Thursday) to 3 October (Sunday).
• Torrential rains may generate urban flooding in Karachi, Badin, Thatta, Hyderabad, Dadu, Mirpurkhas, Shaeed Benazirabad, Lasbela, Sonmiani, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar, Turbat & Jiwani.
• Windstorm may cause damages to vulnerable structures.

PMD Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and updates will be issued accordingly.

All concerned Authorities are requested to remain High ALERT during the forecast period and keep them abreast for update through PMD website.

Met Office informed that the well-marked low-pressure area over south Gujarat, India after moving over Northeast Arabian Sea has intensified into a Depression and now lies around latitude 22.5°N and longitude 69.4°E, at a distance of about 340 km in east-southeast direction of Karachi. The system is likely to intensify further into a Cyclonic Storm during next 24 hours and move northwestwards.

Under the influence of this weather system:

• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls, extremely heavy at times, accompanied with squally winds are likely in Karachi, Hyderabad, Thatta, Badin, Mirpurkhas, Thaparker, Umerkot, Sanghar, Shaheed Benazirabad, Nosheroferoz, Tando Muhammad Khan (TMK), Tando Allayar (TAY), Dadu, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Shikarpur & Ghotki districts from today-afternoon/late evening 30 Sep (Thursday) to 2nd Oct (Saturday).
• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls, extremely heavy at times, are likely in Gwadar, Lasbela, Awaran, Kech, Khuzdar, Kalat and Panjgur districts of Balochistan during 30 Sep (Thursday) - 3 Oct (Sunday).

Possible Impacts:

• Sea conditions would remain rough/very rough with high surge at times till Oct 3 (Sunday).
• Fishermen are advised not to venture in the sea from 30 September (Thursday) to 3 October (Sunday).
• Torrential rains may generate urban flooding in Karachi, Badin, Thatta, Hyderabad, Dadu, Mirpurkhas, Shaeed Benazirabad, Lasbela, Sonmiani, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar, Turbat & Jiwani.
• Windstorm may cause damages to vulnerable structures.

PMD Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and updates will be issued accordingly.

All concerned Authorities are requested to remain High ALERT during the forecast period and keep them abreast for update through PMD website.

Satellite imagery at 0900 PST

Met Office informed that the well-marked low-pressure area currently lying over south Gujarat, India is likely to move northwestward. The system is likely to emerge in the Northeast Arabian Sea by tomorrow, the 30th Sep (Thursday morning) and strengthen into a Depression due to favourable environmental conditions with possibility of further intensification into a Cyclonic Storm in subsequent 24 hours (Oct 1, Friday).

Under the influence of this weather system:

• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls, extremely heavy at times, accompanied with squally winds are likely in Karachi, Hyderabad, Thatta, Badin, Mirpurkhas, Thaparker, Umerkot, Sanghar, Shaheed Benazirabad, Nosheroferoz, Tando Muhammad Khan (TMK), Tando Allayar (TAY), Dadu, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Shikarpur & Ghotki districts from tomorrow 30 Sep (Thursday) to 2nd Oct (Saturday).
• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls, extremely heavy at times, are likely in Gwadar, Lasbela, Awaran, Kech, Khuzdar, Kalat and Panjgur districts of Balochistan during 30 Sep (Thursday) - 3 Oct (Sunday).

Possible Impacts:

• Sea conditions would remain rough/very rough with high surge at times till Oct 3 (Sunday).
• Fishermen are advised not to venture in the sea from 30 September (Thursday) to 3 October (Sunday).
• Torrential rains may generate urban flooding in Karachi, Badin, Thatta, Hyderabad, Dadu, Mirpurkhas, Shaeed Benazirabad, Lasbela, Sonmiani, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar, Turbat & Jiwani.
• Windstorm may cause damages to vulnerable structures.

PMD Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre, Karachi is closely monitoring the system and updates will be issued accordingly.

All concerned Authorities are requested to remain High ALERT during the forecast period and keep them abreast for update through PMD website.

Satellite imagery at 1400 PST

Met Office informed that a low-pressure area (remnant of the Cyclonic Storm “Gulab”) currently lying over central India is likely to track in northwest direction (towards Indian Gujarat area). The system is likely to re-emerge over the Northeast Arabian Sea by 29 Sep (Wednesday night)/30 Sep (Thursday morning) and regain intensity due to favourable environmental conditions.

Under its influence:

• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls extremely heavy at times are likely in Karachi, Hyderabad, Thatta, Badin, Mirpurkhas, Thaparker, Umerkot, Sanghar, Shaheed Benazirabad, Nosheroferoz, TMK, TAY, Dadu, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Shikarpur & Ghotki districts during 28 Sep – 2nd Oct.
• Widespread rain-wind-thunderstorms with scattered heavy/very heavy falls extremely heavy at times are likely in Bela, Awaran, Kech, Makran and Panjgur districts of Balochistan during 30 Sep (Thursday) - 3 Oct (Sunday).

Possible Impacts:

• Sea conditions would remain rough/very rough with occasional high surge.
• Fishermen are advised not to venture in the sea from 30 September (Thursday) to 3 October (Saturday).
• Torrential rains may generate urban flooding in Karachi, Badin, Thatta, Hyderabad, Dadu, Lasbela, Sonmiani, Ormara, Pasni, Gwadar, Turbat & Jiwani.
• Windstorm may cause damages to vulnerable structures

NOTE: All concerned authorities are requested to remain ALERT during the forecast period.

The Cyclonic Storm “GULAB” over west-central Bay of Bengal moved westward and started land-falling along North Andhra Pradesh-Orissa coast, India at 1500PST. Reaching over land, the system is likely to weaken into a depression first and then a well-marked low-pressure area and track Northwestward (towards Indian Gujarat coast).

There is no threat to any of the coastal area of Pakistani from this system.

This is the last advisory in this regard.

Satellite imagery at 2000 PST